In my case I was told over the phone that if a place were declined, it would be offered to me. I can't see any reason why the lady I spoke to wouldn't tell the truth. In any case, I seem to have a contingency plan in place, so whilst I would like a Fellowship rather than an ordinary postdoc (better support, apart from anything else), I'd be happy with what I've been offered so far.
1. Anyone else catch part 1 of the Goodies retrospective on Radio 4 this morning? 2. If any Doctor Who fans in here haven't heard, Billie Piper's been cast as the new assistant.